Science Advances

Supplementary Materials

This PDF file includes:

  • Fig. S1. For the individual models, ensemble mean soil moisture balance (PDSI, SM-30cm, and SM-2m) for 2050–2099: ACCESS1.0, ACCESS1.3, BCC-CSM1.1, and CanESM2.
  • Fig. S2. Same as fig. S1, but for CCSM4, CESM1-BGC, CESM-CAM5, and CNRM-CM5.
  • Fig. S3. Same as fig. S1, but for GFDL-CM3, GFDL-ESM2G, GFDL-ESM2M, and GISS-E2-R.
  • Fig. S4. Same as fig. S1, but for INMCM4.0,MIROC-ESM, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, NorESM1-M, and NorESM1-ME models.
  • Fig. S5. Same as Fig. 1, but for the RCP 4.5 scenario.
  • Fig. S6. Regional average moisture balance time series (historical + RCP 8.5) from the first ensemble member of each model over the Central Plains.
  • Fig. S7. Same as fig. S6, but for the Southwest.
  • Fig. S8. Pearson’s correlation coefficients for three time intervals from the models over the Central Plains: PDSI versus SM-30cm, PDSI versus SM-2m, and SM-30cm versus SM-2m.
  • Fig. S9. Same as fig. S8, but for the Southwest.
  • Fig. S10. Same as Fig. 2, but for the RCP 4.5 scenario.
  • Fig. S11. Same as Fig. 3, but for the RCP 4.5 scenario.
  • Fig. S12. Same as Fig.4, but for the RCP 4.5 scenario.
  • Fig. S13. Same as Fig. 5, but for the RCP 4.5 scenario.
  • Table S1. Continuous model ensembles from the CMIP5 experiments (1850–2099, historical + RCP8.5 scenario) used in this analysis, including the modeling center or group that supplied the output, the number of ensemble members, and the approximate spatial resolution.
  • Table S2. The number of soil layers integrated for our CMIP5 soil moisture metrics (SM-30cm and SM-2m), and the approximate depth of the bottom soil layer.

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