Science Advances
Supplementary Materials
This PDF file includes:
- fig. S1. Increase in the regional flood protection level required to preserve the
current high-end flood risk for the period 2035 to 2044 (realization 16.7 percentile,
lower likely range).
- fig. S2. Increase in the regional flood protection level required to preserve the
current high-end flood risk for the period 2035 to 2044 (realization 83.3 percentile,
upper likely range).
- fig. S3. Required adaptation relative to current protection to preserve the current
high-end flood risk for the period 2035 to 2044 (realization ensemble median).
- fig. S4. Affected people in the historic period.
- fig. S5. Affected people in the future period.
- fig. S6. Absolute increase in high-end flood risk.
- fig. S7. Climate model agreement (historic period).
- fig. S8. Climate model agreement (future period).
- fig. S9. Hydrological model agreement (historic period).
- fig. S10. Hydrological model agreement (future period).
- fig. S11. Example histogram of affected people (in India).
- fig. S12. Example histogram of affected people (in Egypt).
- fig. S13. Zoomed-in views of selected metropolitan areas; increase in the regional
flood protection level required to preserve the current high-end flood risk for the
period 2035 to 2044.
- fig. S14. Schematic of the method to yield the affected population from discharge.
- fig. S15. Probability plot correlation coefficient for the preindustrial control
run of 439 years as a goodness of (GEV) fit measure.
- fig. S16. Probability density functions for the fitted GEV distribution at four representative
grid cells (hot/cold and wet/dry).
- fig. S17. Increase in the regional flood protection level required to preserve the
current high-end flood risk for the period 2035 to 2044 (realization ensemble median)
using the Gumbel distribution for the extreme value fit (cf. Fig. 3 for GEV fit).
- table S1. Main characteristics of the GHMs as used in this study, based on the study of Warszawski et al. (7).
Other Supplementary Material for this manuscript includes the following:
- CSV (comma-separated-values) file of the raw data (Microsoft Excel format)
Files in this Data Supplement: