Science Advances

Supplementary Materials

This PDF file includes:

  • Table S1. Snow events in Jerusalem from the available TIGGE database (27, 28).
  • Table S2. The eight CMIP5 models used in the present study with the following information: Modeling center (or group), institute ID, model name, and horizontal resolution (°) following Taylor et al. (29).
  • Table S3. Model rank scores for each synoptic group with respect to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis.
  • Table S4. CMIP5 models and NCEP/NCAR reanalysis transition probabilities for the different synoptic groups.
  • Table S5. Model mean absolute differences for the transition probabilities of each synoptic group with respect to the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis (%).
  • Fig. S1. The study region following Alpert et al. (7).
  • Fig. S2. Meteogram from ECMWF’s EPS (Ensemble Prediction System) forecast system initialized on Wednesday, 11 December 2013, 00:00 UTC at the location of Jerusalem (31.9°N 35.2°E; 815 m).
  • Fig. S3. Mean SLP composite maps from NCEP/NCAR reanalysis as classified by the Alpert et al. (7) synoptic classification algorithm for 1986–2005.

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