Table 2 The FraCS prediction model.

The FPM was developed by logistic regression analysis and is expressed by the following equation: loge(PGDIII:PGD0/I) = −5.5669 + 0.0484*IL-6 + 2.4370*ATP11B + 2.0469*IL-6/IL-10.

GroupArea under
ROC curve
P
Development group
(n = 32, PGD0/I: n = 23, PGDIII: n = 9)
0.96<0.0001
  Cross-validation of development group0.88<0.05
Validation group
(n = 20, PGD0/I: n = 10, PGDIII: n = 10)
0.870.0052
All cases
(n = 52, PGD0/I: n = 33, PGDIII: n = 19)
0.88<0.0001
  Cross-validation of all cases0.82<0.05