BS, baseline; SS, seventies scenario. The SDs of the posterior distributions are shown in parentheses. Model fit is indicated by its relative WAIC.
Species | BS | SS | PopEs | K | r | q | ψ | WAIC | |
1 | Silvertip shark (STS) | Macroeco | Guess | 31,693 (18,513) | 455,337 (31,780) | 0.045 (0.001) | 4.0 × 10−6 (1.4 × 10−6) | 0.0155 (0.0031) | 2330.21 |
2 | — | — | USSR | 28,623 (17,057) | 456,142 (30,553) | 0.045 (0.001) | 4.4 × 10−6 (1.6 × 10−6) | 0.0152 (0.0029) | 2444.74 |
3 | — | Wheeler | Guess | 20,122 (13,336) | 216,709 (15,059) | 0.045 (0.001) | 6.2 × 10−6 (2.3 × 10−6) | 0.0344 (0.0079) | 2632.70 |
4 | — | — | USSR | 18,595 (12,381) | 217,439 (14,784) | 0.045 (0.001) | 6.6 × 10−6 (2.5 × 10−6) | 0.0343 (0.0081) | 2341.33 |
5 | Gray reef shark (GRS) | Macroeco | Guess | 586,114 (154,059) | 722,930 (42,733) | 0.125 (0.005) | 2.0 × 10−6 (3.2 × 10−6) | 0.0058 (0.0054) | 2042.31 |
6 | — | — | USSR | 571,310 (124,915) | 727,435 (43,353) | 0.125 (0.005) | 1.6 × 10−6 (1.6 × 10−6) | 0.0075 (0.006) | 1788.60 |
7 | — | Wheeler | Guess | 439,654 (355,158) | 2,330,047 (164,414) | 0.124 (0.005) | 4.4 × 10−6 (3.1 × 10−6) | 0.0038 (0.0026) | 2708.90 |
8 | — | — | USSR | 645,275 (344,663) | 2,325,847 (162,766) | 0.123 (0.005) | 2.4 × 10−6 (1.6 × 10−6) | 0.0045 (0.003) | 2359.70 |