Bayesian evidences (Z) and maximum likelihoods () from our combined fits using Kepler and new HST data. Kepler plus HST fits. The subscripts are P for the planet model, T for the planetary TTV model, Z for the zero-radius moon model, and M for the moon model. The three columns are for each trend model attempted.
Linear | Quadratic | Exponential | |
![]() | 6302.79 ± 0.11 | 6306.68 ± 0.11 | 6308.41 ± 0.11 |
![]() | 6304.86 ± 0.11 | 6308.81 ± 0.12 | 6310.71 ± 0.11 |
![]() | 6306.84 ± 0.11 | 6311.12 ± 0.12 | 6310.82 ± 0.12 |
![]() | 6315.73 ± 0.12 | 6312.92 ± 0.12 | 6314.01 ± 0.12 |
![]() | 1.00 ± 0.22* | ||
![]() | 25.88 ± 0.32 | 12.47 ± 0.33 | 11.19 ± 0.32 |
![]() | 21.72 ± 0.33 | 8.21 ± 0.34 | 17.81 ± 0.33 |
![]() | 17.77 ± 0.33 | 3.61 ± 0.33 | 6.38 ± 0.34 |
![]() | 18.66* | ||
![]() | 54.93 | 41.04 | 41.57 |
![]() | 35.69 | 23.97 | 23.97 |
![]() | 33.68 | 19.59 | 19.22 |
*Values derived using the Kepler data in isolation.