D50, sediment size; K, hydraulic conductivity; φ, sediment transport phase angle; BSS, Brier skill score (goodness of fit; cf. Eq. 4); Δzcrest, difference between modeled and measured island crest elevation; Δxcrest, difference between modeled and measured island crest position. For all model runs, Hs = 4 m, Tp = 9.9 s, hreef = 3 m, and Ttest = 50 hours. “X” denotes that the island was destroyed during the simulation. Bold values for BSS, Δzcrest, and Δxcrest represent the best performance of the numerical model in each of the groups of model runs. Positive values for Δzcrest and Δxcrest mean that the modeled crest is higher and further landward, respectively.
Test series | D50 (mm) | K (m s−1) | φ (°) | BSS (−) | Δzcrest (m) | Δxcrest (m) |
Sensitivity to sediment transport phase angle φ | ||||||
XB1_06_005_25 | 6 | 0.005 | 25 | X | X | X |
XB1_06_005_26 | 6 | 0.005 | 27 | X | X | X |
XB1_06_005_29 | 6 | 0.005 | 29 | 0.79 | 0.06 | 14.0 |
XB1_06_005_30 | 6 | 0.005 | 30 | 0.89 | 0.25 | 8.2 |
XB1_06_005_31 | 6 | 0.005 | 31 | 0.86 | 0.40 | 4.9 |
XB1_06_005_33 | 6 | 0.005 | 33 | 0.74 | 0.60 | 0.4 |
XB1_06_005_35 | 6 | 0.005 | 35 | 0.63 | 0.74 | −1.9 |
Sensitivity to hydraulic conductivity K | ||||||
XB1_10_000_25 | 10 | 0.000 | 25 | 0.53 | −0.83 | 21.8 |
XB1_10_005_25 | 10 | 0.005 | 25 | 0.68 | −0.56 | 17.0 |
XB1_10_010_25 | 10 | 0.010 | 25 | 0.83 | 0.10 | 6.2 |
XB1_10_020_25 | 10 | 0.020 | 25 | 0.66 | 0.42 | 0.3 |
XB1_10_030_25 | 10 | 0.030 | 25 | 0.50 | 0.54 | −2.7 |
XB1_10_040_25 | 10 | 0.040 | 25 | 0.42 | 0.63 | −4.3 |
XB1_10_050_25 | 10 | 0.050 | 25 | 0.36 | 0.71 | −5.9 |
Sensitivity to sediment size D50 | ||||||
XB1_06_005_25 | 6 | 0.005 | 25 | X | X | X |
XB1_08_005_25 | 8 | 0.005 | 25 | X | X | X |
XB1_10_005_25 | 10 | 0.005 | 25 | 0.68 | −0.56 | 17.0 |
XB1_12_005_25 | 12 | 0.005 | 25 | 0.88 | −0.20 | 9.7 |
XB1_14_005_25 | 14 | 0.005 | 25 | 0.77 | 0.08 | 2.1 |
Sensitivity to sediment size D50 and hydraulic conductivity K | ||||||
XB1_06_010_25 | 6 | 0.010 | 25 | X | X | X |
XB1_07_020_25 | 7 | 0.020 | 25 | 0.83 | 0.31 | 8.3 |
XB1_08_030_25 | 8 | 0.030 | 25 | 0.59 | 0.52 | −0.6 |
XB1_10_050_25 | 10 | 0.050 | 25 | 0.36 | 0.71 | −5.9 |
XB1_12_070_25 | 12 | 0.070 | 25 | 0.21 | 0.86 | −7.3 |
XB1_15_000_25 | 15 | 0.000 | 25 | 0.84 | −0.17 | 3.5 |
XB1_15_050_25 | 15 | 0.050 | 25 | 0.24 | 0.76 | −7.4 |