***P < 0.0001, **P < 0.001, *P < 0.01. Standard errors are clustered at the level of political variation (precinct level) and reported in parentheses. Geographic controls include polynomials for distance to coast and elevation. Demographic controls include residential density, median age, median household income, college graduation rate, employment, and race/ethnicity. Full results are in table S2.
Dependent variable: >24-hour evacuation | ||||
Independent variable | (1) | (2) | (3) | (4) |
Trump vote share | 0.0115* | −0.00626 | −0.00998 | 0.00659 |
(0.00418) | (0.00563) | (0.00674) | (0.00713) | |
Trump share × After Limbaugh | −0.117*** | −0.130*** | −0.0959*** | −0.104*** |
(0.00951) | (0.00875) | (0.00809) | (0.00804) | |
Hurricane alert received | 0.107*** | 0.0727*** | 0.144*** | 0.0870*** |
(0.00279) | (0.00273) | (0.00364) | (0.00404) | |
Geographic controls | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Demographic controls | No | Yes | Yes | Yes |
Fixed effects (# units) | Hurricane (3) | Hurricane (3) | Hurricane (3), | Hurricane (3), |
County (166) | Geohash-4 (708) | |||
Observations | 2,727,999 | 2,677,181 | 2,677,181 | 2,677,175 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.031 | 0.035 | 0.043 | 0.044 |