Paleoseismic record of (19) | Paleoseismic record of (21) | PGA ≥ 0.13g (MMI ≥ VI½) events (this study) | PGA ≥ 0.34g (MMI ≥ VIII) events (this study) | Integrated Mw ≥ 7.0 record (this study) | ||
Lower-bound magnitude (Mmin) | 7.0 | 8.0 | 5.3 | 7.0 | 7.0 | |
Time period | Past 60 ka | Past 185 ka | Past 220 ka | Past 220 ka | Past 220 ka | |
Number of events | 13 | 26 | 413 | 139 | 151 | |
SD (year) | 4800 | 4600 | 900 | 2200 | 2000 | |
SEM (year) | 1500 | 1000 | 40 | 190 | 160 | |
Mean return time (year) | 4600 ± 1500 | 6900 ± 1000 | 530 ± 40 | 1500 ± 190 | 1400 ± 160 | |
COV | 1.05 | 0.67 | 1.65 | 1.49 | 1.43 | |
Fitting of return time distribution (R2) | Weibull | – | 0.97 | – | – | – |
Exponential | 0.01 | 0.85 | 0.72 | 0.63 | 0.66 | |
Power-law | 0.14 | 0.59 | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.89 | |
The best fit to the distribution | – (Fig. 5A) | Weibull (Fig. 5B); y = 0.18x0.7e(−0.03*x^1.7) | Power-law (Fig. 4B); y = 0.03x−1.5 | Power-law (Fig. 4C); y = 0.14x−1.2 | Power-law (Fig. 5C); y = 0.15x−1.3 | |
Earthquake recurrence pattern | Random | Quasi-periodic | Clustered | |||
Fault behavior model | – | – | The group-fault temporal clustering model |